FIRE
Financial independence: how much you need to stop working, and when your savings get there.
You could stop working at age 50
In 20 years. You need $1,000,000 in today’s money: 25× the $40,000 you spend a year. With 6% inflation that’s about $3.21M by then.
Shown in future amounts. Turn on Today’s money to adjust for 6% inflation.
Savings vs the target
Your savings cross the target at 50. The target keeps rising with inflation.
Your ageShow the numbers as a table
| Age | Savings | Target |
|---|---|---|
| 30 | $100,000 | $1,000,000 |
| 31 | $141,601 | $1,060,000 |
| 32 | $188,943 | $1,123,600 |
| 33 | $242,678 | $1,191,016 |
| 34 | $303,528 | $1,262,477 |
| 35 | $372,292 | $1,338,226 |
| 36 | $449,854 | $1,418,519 |
| 37 | $537,188 | $1,503,630 |
| 38 | $635,373 | $1,593,848 |
| 39 | $745,600 | $1,689,479 |
| 40 | $869,184 | $1,790,848 |
| 41 | $1,007,578 | $1,898,299 |
| 42 | $1,162,384 | $2,012,196 |
| 43 | $1,335,374 | $2,132,928 |
| 44 | $1,528,501 | $2,260,904 |
| 45 | $1,743,919 | $2,396,558 |
| 46 | $1,984,008 | $2,540,352 |
| 47 | $2,251,391 | $2,692,773 |
| 48 | $2,548,961 | $2,854,339 |
| 49 | $2,879,909 | $3,025,600 |
| 50 | $3,247,755 | $3,207,135 |
What you need at 50: 25× your yearly spending then.
Year-by-year table20 years
| Age | Savings | Target |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | $141,601 | $1,060,000 |
| 32 | $188,943 | $1,123,600 |
| 33 | $242,678 | $1,191,016 |
| 34 | $303,528 | $1,262,477 |
| 35 | $372,292 | $1,338,226 |
| 36 | $449,854 | $1,418,519 |
| 37 | $537,188 | $1,503,630 |
| 38 | $635,373 | $1,593,848 |
| 39 | $745,600 | $1,689,479 |
| 40 | $869,184 | $1,790,848 |
| 41 | $1,007,578 | $1,898,299 |
| 42 | $1,162,384 | $2,012,196 |
| 43 | $1,335,374 | $2,132,928 |
| 44 | $1,528,501 | $2,260,904 |
| 45 | $1,743,919 | $2,396,558 |
| 46 | $1,984,008 | $2,540,352 |
| 47 | $2,251,391 | $2,692,773 |
| 48 | $2,548,961 | $2,854,339 |
| 49 | $2,879,909 | $3,025,600 |
| 50 | $3,247,755 | $3,207,135 |
How this is calculated
Your FIRE number is the pot that can pay your yearly spending at a safe withdrawal rate. At 4%, that’s 25.0× your spending.
target in year n = target × (1 + 6%)n
Savings grow monthly: you invest $2,500 at the start of each month, raised 5% every year, at the monthly version of a 10% return.
The 4% rule comes from US market history over 30-year retirements. Retiring earlier, or in a market with lower returns, argues for a lower rate.
Lean FIRE is 0.8× the FIRE number and fat FIRE 2×. Coast FIRE is the FIRE number at 50 divided by (1 + 10%) to the power 20: what you’d need invested today to get there with no more saving.
Tax, pensions and changes in spending after you stop aren’t modelled. Returns are assumed steady.
Frequently asked questions
What is FIRE?
Financial Independence, Retire Early: saving and investing enough that your investments can pay your living costs, so paid work becomes optional.
How is the FIRE number calculated?
Your yearly spending divided by your safe withdrawal rate. At 4% that is 25 times a year of spending; at 3.5% it is about 29 times.
What are lean, fat and coast FIRE?
Lean FIRE covers a frugal lifestyle and fat FIRE a comfortable one with room to spare. Coast FIRE is the amount that, invested today with nothing more added, grows to your FIRE number by your target age.
Is the 4% rule safe for early retirement?
It comes from US market history over 30-year retirements. Retiring in your 30s or 40s means a much longer horizon, so many people plan with 3–3.5% instead.