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Loan vs invest

Got a bonus? Put it toward the loan, or invest it? Same cash flows either way, compared on what you own when the loan would have ended.

Investing the bonus ends $31.4K ahead

Measured 15 years from now, when the loan would end anyway. Prepaying clears it 3 yrs 6 mo early and saves $45.3K in interest; investing $20,000 at 12% grows to $109K.

Investing wins only above 9.16% a year after tax. Prepaying is a guaranteed 9%.

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What you own in 15 years

Prepay: the loan ends 3 yrs 6 mo early, then the $1,521 EMI you no longer pay goes into a SIP. Invest: the bonus is invested now and the loan runs its full term.

Investments when the loan would end
Prepay, then SIP the EMI$78.1K
Invest the bonus$109K

Investing comes out ahead, if the return holds.

PrepayInvest
Guaranteed?YesNo, returns vary
Cash if neededLocked in the houseAvailable
Interest saved
$45.3K
by prepaying
Loan ends
11 yrs 6 mo
instead of 15 yrs
Breakeven return
9.16%
How this is calculated

Both routes cost you the same each month until the original end date: prepaying pays the EMI until the shorter loan ends, then puts the same amount into a SIP.

invest = $20,000 × (1 + 12%)15
prepay = SIP of $1,521 for the months freed

The breakeven is close to the loan rate: prepaying earns exactly the loan rate, risk-free. Tax relief on loan interest and tax on investment gains change it, so compare after-tax numbers.